Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.004818 0.005312 0.005846 0.006467 0.007173 0.007952 0.008880
2025-08-03 0.004005 0.004685 0.005475 0.006469 0.007698 0.009181 0.011127
2025-08-10 0.003510 0.004263 0.005181 0.006398 0.007992 0.010038 0.012918
2025-08-17 0.003200 0.004005 0.005026 0.006438 0.008378 0.011007 0.014938
2025-08-24 0.002918 0.003743 0.004821 0.006367 0.008580 0.011717 0.016669
2025-08-31 0.002648 0.003464 0.004561 0.006179 0.008576 0.012112 0.017961
2025-09-07 0.002476 0.003301 0.004437 0.006163 0.008806 0.012860 0.019891
2025-09-14 0.002389 0.003247 0.004457 0.006350 0.009353 0.014151 0.022905
2025-09-21 0.002229 0.003074 0.004290 0.006236 0.009408 0.014646 0.024607
2025-09-28 0.002086 0.002915 0.004130 0.006114 0.009433 0.015084 0.026261
2025-10-05 0.001986 0.002812 0.004045 0.006103 0.009635 0.015845 0.028649
2025-10-12 0.001924 0.002763 0.004038 0.006214 0.010054 0.017042 0.032116
2025-10-19 0.001822 0.002649 0.003928 0.006153 0.010182 0.017751 0.034785
2025-10-26 0.001739 0.002562 0.003853 0.006150 0.010419 0.018711 0.038242
2025-11-02 0.001652 0.002460 0.003749 0.006084 0.010527 0.019420 0.041265
2025-11-09 0.001592 0.002399 0.003707 0.006121 0.010835 0.020588 0.045674
2025-11-16 0.001519 0.002311 0.003612 0.006055 0.010930 0.021305 0.049104
2025-11-23 0.001432 0.002196 0.003464 0.005878 0.010780 0.021460 0.051057
2025-11-30 0.001378 0.002134 0.003404 0.005862 0.010963 0.022400 0.055459
2025-12-07 0.001359 0.002128 0.003443 0.006039 0.011573 0.024439 0.063709
2025-12-14 0.001297 0.002047 0.003342 0.005931 0.011550 0.024930 0.067284
2025-12-21 0.001239 0.001969 0.003241 0.005817 0.011500 0.025346 0.070744
2025-12-28 0.001199 0.001921 0.003193 0.005806 0.011685 0.026401 0.076737